Abdur Rahman ibn Awf wrote:
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Saudi Attack Analysis
UAE is the devil in the Middle East which operates in the grey-zone, the Saudi attack in Yemen has upended the Emirati calculus, from OPENINT:
- The 3rd party vessels transporting the military equipment had their (Automatic Identification System) disabled
- The equipment being given to Yemen was not standard UAE hardware used elsewhere
1 and 2 gave UAE plausible deniability. Saudi Arabia tracked it and destroyed it and this is what has caused UAE to back down so quickly because this sort of capability and resolve has not been displayed by Saudia before.
Here are the details from Al-Jazeera
www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2025/12/30/live-yemens-pr...
Turki al-Maliki, made a series of posts on X detailing the group’s position on the UAE’s claims regarding military support to the Southern Transitional Council and what transpired before the strikes.
Here is a summary of the points made by al-Maliki in his five X posts:
- The coalition documented the arrival and unloading process of two ships from the UAE, after which “high-level” officials in the UAE were notified that they must not allow the shipment to leave the port of Mukalla.
- While the two ships entered, the port was closed, and all local employees were evacuated. The coalition said the ships were carrying “more than 80 vehicles, in addition to a number of containers loaded with weapons and ammunition”.
- The coalition maintains that despite the warning, and without informing Saudi Arabia, the Emiratis “proceeded to transfer the vehicles and containers to the al-Rayan base, where no more than 10 additional Emirati personnel are present”.
- The Emiratis were informed that the shipment must be returned to the port, but they only returned the vehicles. The weapons stayed at the base. The coalition said it had information that such weapons would be transported and distributed to locations in Yemen’s Hadramout.
- A “limited military operation” was carried out on the port, and it is the coalition’s assertion that the containers with weapons and ammunition are still at the al-Rayan base.
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