Saudi Arabia AND UAE Watch

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#16 [Permalink] Posted on 24th December 2025 19:09

Abdur Rahman ibn Awf wrote:

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Rajab wrote:

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UAE President Al Nahyan to make first official visit to Pakistan on Dec 26

PAF (Pakistan Air force) is flying over Islamabad right now and doing drills to do an airshow and welcome the UAE President to Pakistan.

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#17 [Permalink] Posted on 24th December 2025 22:38

Airspace over Islamabad has been severely restricted for the next 2 days to prepare for unprecedented welcome of the UAE President to Pakistan.

Grade A NOTAM has been issued by Pakistan

paa.gov.pk/aeronautical-information/notice-to-airmen

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#18 [Permalink] Posted on 26th December 2025 16:48

Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) arrived in Pakistan on 26 December 2025 and he was escorted by 6 JF-17 Jets

twitter.com/TheSaadKaiser/status/2004561918976254342

These are Block 2 JF-17s with conformal fuel tanks (see spine) but they are fitted with additional (drop) fuel tanks to make it look chunkier to the Arabs
Their is a C-130 in the air taking pictures and making videos

The Jackass from UAE arrived in Pakistan, was escorted by Jets (made to look dashing), landed in Islamabad met Pakistani Jackasses and then went to Rahim Yar Khan which UAE owns for hunting!

Arabs are narcissists but Pakistani people know how to appease their Nafs

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#19 [Permalink] Posted on 26th December 2025 17:25

Yemen’s main southern separatists have accused Saudi Arabia of launching air attacks against their positions in Hadramout province.

Air attacks follow separatists’ refusal to withdraw from eastern provinces seized earlier this month.

The STC offensive risks causing tension between close allies Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

The UAE previously provided military and financial backing to the STC. On Friday, the Emirati Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a statement welcoming Saudi efforts ‍to support security and stability in Yemen.

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#20 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 03:52

Dr Andreas Krieg
@andreas_krieg
The UAE's Axis of Secessionists is taking shape - Abu Dhabi's main enclave in Somaliland trades recognition for Israeli forward basing rights

The UAE are still lobbying the Trump administration for recognizing Somaliland

Next might be South Yemen

x.com/andreas_krieg/status/2004652608708034577?s=20

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#21 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 08:22

By the end of 2025, the regional balance of power has shifted sharply. The change is driven by the UAE’s push to build a maritime and proxy based sphere of influence that increasingly acts on its own and often in competition with Saudi Arabia. By locking down key chokepoints and building high level defence partnerships, Abu Dhabi has moved ahead of Riyadh’s more traditional diplomatic approach.

In Sudan and Libya, a new flow of weapons and logistics has reshaped the fighting. A 4.6 billion dollar deal finalised in late December 2025 between Pakistan and the forces of Khalifa Haftar in eastern Libya has become a central supply engine for the UAE backed Rapid Support Forces. After their victory in El Fasher, the RSF now controls the strategic high ground in Darfur, sustained largely through this Libyan route. This emerging alignment linking Pakistan, the UAE, and the Libyan National Army has effectively sidelined Saudi efforts to mediate through the Jeddah talks, leaving Riyadh marginalised in one of Africa’s most consequential conflicts.

Yemen shows an even clearer break in interests. In early December 2025, the UAE backed Southern Transitional Council launched a rapid offensive that captured nearly 95 per cent of South Yemen, including the oil rich Hadhramaut region. Saudi Arabia threatened direct military action and tried to shield the internationally recognised government, but the reality on the ground now points to a de facto partition. By holding the southern coastline and major oil fields, the UAE’s local allies have secured the resources needed for an independent state, directly undermining the Saudi vision of a unified and stable neighbour.

This pressure also extends into the Red Sea. On 26 December 2025, Israel’s recognition of Somaliland helped create a new security framework tied closely to the spirit of the Abraham Accords and the UAE’s role at the port of Berbera. Together, this arrangement strengthens control over the Bab el Mandeb strait through an emerging UAE Israel Ethiopia axis. As a result, Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea Council is losing relevance while these actors establish direct maritime links outside traditional Arab League structures.

At the core of this rivalry are two very different national models. Saudi Arabia is a large state managing internal social pressures, unemployment, and the costly scaling back of projects such as NEOM. The UAE, by contrast, operates with the speed and flexibility of a global logistics hub. Abu Dhabi’s quiet manoeuvring does not appear aimed at dismantling the Saudi state, but rather at pushing it into a subordinate role within the GCC. By drawing former Saudi partners like Pakistan into its own orbit and securing critical trade routes, the UAE is positioning itself as the dominant power in the Middle East.

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#22 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 10:17

If a country were to gain significant influence over both Somaliland and Southern Yemen, they would essentially be holding the keys to one of the most vital maritime corridors in the world. Because these two territories sit directly across from one another, they form a natural pincer around the Gulf of Aden. This gives a dominant power the ability to monitor or even control the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a narrow passage through which about ten per cent of all global trade and vast amounts of energy supplies travel. By controlling both the "north and south banks" of this gateway, a nation could dictate the security of the primary route connecting Europe to Asia via the Suez Canal.

Beyond simple trade, this dual influence offers an incredible military and intelligence advantage. It allows for the placement of radar, surveillance, and naval bases on both sides of the water, creating a "security umbrella" that can track every vessel entering or leaving the Indian Ocean. From a counter-terrorism perspective, it would allow a country to effectively sever the historic smuggling routes used by extremist groups to move fighters and weapons between the Horn of Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. It turns the Gulf of Aden from a lawless stretch of water into a managed lake.

There is also a massive economic and resource play involved. Southern Yemen holds the bulk of the country’s oil and gas wealth, while Somaliland possesses untapped offshore potential and serves as the primary commercial gateway for the rapidly growing landlocked economy of Ethiopia. By managing the ports of Aden and Berbera simultaneously, a country could corner the logistics market for the entire region. Furthermore, the seabed between them is the highway for the undersea fiber-optic cables that keep the modern internet running between continents; having influence over where these cables "land" provides a quiet but immense form of geopolitical leverage.

In the hands of a regional power, this influence acts as a shield against rivals, ensuring that no hostile navy can bottle them up or threaten their coastlines. For a global power, it provides a permanent seat at the table of international affairs, as every other major economy would rely on their goodwill to keep the world’s shipping lanes moving. It is essentially the ultimate strategic "high ground" in modern geopolitics, turning a country into an indispensable gatekeeper for the global economy.

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#23 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 12:28

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So basically MBZ is intent on helping his masters the Zionest settler colony. Become not just a regional but a leading world military power.
Most likely lobby for secessionist states to be recognised in Sudan, independent Druze state bordering Syria, a Maronite state in Lebanon.
Probably expand further lobby for recognise independent Kurdish state within Iraq and Syria.
Separatist states in Baluchistan and the Khyber Patunkhwa in Pakistan.

These traitors make the Muafiqeen of the past look like amateurs.

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#24 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 13:38

Sami Hamdi on X

December has been quite the month for the UAE:

UAE ordered Pakistan's general Asim Munir to give weapons to Haftar in Libya, who is expected to then deliver them to Hemedti in Sudan (who is genociding the Sudanese population because Bin Zayed doesn't trust them to choose the 'correct' leaders in any elections).

Asim Munir has reportedly complied.

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UAE's Bin Zayed is bullying Bin Salman in Yemen as he equips and pushes the Southern Separatists to start taking territory in Hadhramout (Saudi's supposed "red line").

UAE is accelerating its bid to carve out an independent 'Southern state' that is expected to serve Abu Dhabi on the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait. The new 'state' will also be expected to protect the Israeli presence in Socotra as part of UAE's agreement with Tel Aviv whereby the latter lobbies Washington for full impunity for the former on foreign policy.

Bin Salman cannot decide if Houthis or Islah ("Muslim Brotherhood") or the internationally-recognised Yemeni government he publicly backs are worse for him and is paralyzed by fears that he will empower these groups by reacting forcefully to UAE's aggression.

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UAE secures Israeli 'recognition' for a political entity composed of Somali tribes in the northern parts of Somalia that are expected to act as transit workers for Ethiopia by providing the land-locked state access to the sea which UAE hopes to leverage with Addis Ababa to push Ethiopia to provide alternative routes for the UAE into Sudan and other parts of Africa (and squeeze Erdogan and Turkiye's relentless growth in influence).

These Somali tribes will also be expected to act as transit workers for an Israeli presence on the Bab al-Mandab Strait to challenge any attempts to economically choke Tel Aviv over its genocide and extermination of Palestinians.

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#25 [Permalink] Posted on 28th December 2025 18:12

Dominant Possibility:

Maritime Importance of Somaliland and Southern Yemen

The Gulf of Aden is a critical global trade chokepoint, with major oil and container traffic passing through the it. This chokepoint controls about 12% of the world Oil exports.

In World maritime traffic this is called CHOKEPOINT4 and London based Lloyds shows that despite the Houthis trade has not been down it is because it cannot there is no other way around this chokepoint!

Why does Israel want Somaliland?

A report by Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies described Somaliland as a potential forward base for monitoring Houthi activity, supporting Yemen’s internationally recognized government, and enabling direct operations.

Why is UAE doing in Somaliland?

This entire area is Muslim and extremely hostile to Israel so UAE has been building a series of bases since 2017 at the behest of Israel. In fact, This ring of control, in and around one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, has escalated rapidly since the 7 October Hamas-led attacks on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza. The UAE’s allies, including Israel and the US, have been party to the creation and expansion of the bases.

What is MBZ (of UAE) doing in Pakistan?

Pakistan is bankrupt, not only it has no money but it has no legitimacy. Generals of Pakistan Army desperately want to normalize ties with Israel and India so they can keep on building their personal fortunes.

UAE has clearly thrown a bone to them and Generals are willing to throw their muscle behind the evil plans of UAE. Pakistan has just agreed to supply $4B USD weapons to Haftar which is an entity sanctioned by USA and UN and nobody in the world media and it is clear that this weapons will be used in South Sudan and elsewhere.

This area can and is easily monitored by Pakistan Navy out of Karachi & Gawadar! If the evil Generals of Pakistan are cooperating with UAE (and by extension with Israel) you will quickly see modernization in Intelligence Assets of Pakistan Navy funded by UAE!

Lesser Possibility:

Turkiye has used Pakistan for back channel diplomacy with Haftar (in Libya) just like they used Pakistan to assist Azerbaijan and weapons to Haftar has buy-in from Saudia and USA.

Coming few days/weeks will make the issue clear

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#26 [Permalink] Posted on 29th December 2025 16:58

“Do not think for a moment that what Israel has initiated in Somaliland will remain limited to Somaliland. This has been a project underway for a very long time. What they aim to do is to create an Israel-aligned satellite state at the exit of the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea, thereby encircling Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia on one side, and Yemen on the other provoking a new civil war there. But do you know what the most important part is? They intend to take the Palestinians there. This is what their secret agreement is about. Now, we must fight against this with the utmost determination and resolve.”

—Former Turkish PM @Ahmet_Davutoglu

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#27 [Permalink] Posted on 30th December 2025 07:36

News

Rashad al-Alimi, the head of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council, decided to cancel joint defense deal with the United Arab Emirate.

All UAE forces in Yemen must to leave within 24 hours, al-Alimi says, announcing air and blockade on all sea ports and crossing for 72 hours.

His orders come after the Saudi-led ‌coalition in Yemen launched a limited air strike targeting ‌what it ‌called foreign military ⁠support to the UAE-backed southern separatists (STC) ‌at Mukalla port.

Saudi Foreign Ministry says steps taken by the brotherly state of the United Arab Emirates is extremely dangerous.

Predictions:

The UAE cannot physically evacuate its complex infrastructure and thousands of personnel in 24 hours.

The UAE-backed STC controls Aden and roughly 50% of the south. Al-Alimi is currently in Riyadh, not Aden. Without a major Saudi ground invasion, he cannot enforce his orders.

If the Saudi-UAE coalition fully dissolves into war, the Houthis will likely seize the remaining oil fields. Both Riyadh and Abu Dhabi know this, which may lead to a last-minute "forced" reconciliation by the US.

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#28 [Permalink] Posted on 30th December 2025 15:33

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The UAE’s defence ministry says it has voluntarily ended the mission of its “counterterrorism” units in Yemen, according to the state news agency WAM.

The ministry said the decision was made after a comprehensive assessment of recent developments. It added that the “anti- terrorism” units were the only remaining forces for the country since its withdrawal from Yemen in 2019.

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#29 [Permalink] Posted on 30th December 2025 19:22

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UAE has no choice but to withdraw from Yemen!

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#30 [Permalink] Posted on 30th December 2025 20:16

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So they wanna swim without getting wet.

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